Tuesday, March 27, 2012

sigh, 33 buy-ins under EV.

and that doesn't count the many many coolers and suck outs in non all-in pots I've dealt with. The year is just not giving me any breaks. It's getting tough to put in volume with all of the other things on my plate and finding myself frustrated after every session.

I feel like there is a possible next step to the full tilt situation sometime in the next few weeks. I would expect the deal to be signed and start proceeding through the steps that have to happen in court. Do I expect that I'll see my money (all or in some part) anytime soon? No, I don't. But I do feel that there is a good chance there will be some money to see at some point in the future. I haven't felt like that a lot recently.

I did finish all of the paperwork for my taxes last week, which was a huge relief. I really hate dealing with all of the tax details, and this year was exceedingly complicated.

The weather had been excellent the last few weeks, but this week has been cold, rainy and windy. It does look as though we're in the clear in terms of snow. A winter/early spring without snow has been weird to say the least. I actually enjoy the snow, and a winter without almost seems like we didn't have a winter at all.

well I'm going to grab a snack and get some sleep. I've been re-watching the first four seasons of Mad Men since the 5th season finally started last night. I'm looking forward to getting back into it once I get all caught up. It really is a great great show.

hope everyone is having a good month.

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

a post I made on providing results when discussing hands

people were discussing whether or not providing results had a positive or negative effect on hand analysis. These were my thoughts:

if providing the results would help someone objectively weight a distribution/range then they are of benefit. The difficulty is determining how such information could be used to objectively weight the range. we could arbitrarily assign some kind of value by which the actual hand gains weight and other hands in the range lose weight, but how do we decide how much weight to add? And by default shouldn't we be taking this type of weighting into account when constructing our actual range? Such that the revelation of any one hand should never be an argument for or against constructing or weighting a final range. Only the arguments/analysis behind constructing/weighting that range should be up for debate.

In the end proper objective analysis would not require results. However in practical application when two ranges are being constructed/weighted differently the results (in conjunction with all known information) could be used to very slightly tip the scales towards a certain weighted distribution. However knowing when to apply such knowledge and how much deference to give it is very tricky indeed.

I think the best plan would probably be to attempt to analyze a hand without the information and only resort to it in a particular instance where to people have provided logically sound but slightly differing views on a hand and having the results might help to determine which might be more correct. With the understanding that it still would not necessarily prove one right or one wrong.

reading above sounds a lot like I'm "an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing." (macbeth)